Monday, April 23, 2007

How the GOP keeps the White House in 2008, 2012, 2016, 2020 …….

By Mark E. Towner, April 23, 2007

The Captain looks thru his Spyglass to February 5th 2008, which will become Super-Duper- Mega Tuesday, and in all reality a National Presidential Primary. A majority of the Presidential Delegates from the States participating will be a majority nationally, so whomever wins in February, gets the brass ring for their respective party.

I see Rudy Giuliani as the winner for the GOP, and Hillary Clinton for the Democrats. Now comes the gut check time for both primary winners. Who do they select as their VP choices? For Rudy it’s easy, Romney as his VP will bring home a win for the GOP in November. MONEY, and organization is what Romney brings to the table, and the Mormon issue is not a focus when running as VP. If Romney is shunned by Giuliani, it’s all over for the GOP. Mormons all over America will feel betrayed, and money and volunteers will disappear. And come Election Day, many Mormons and other conservatives will simply not show up at the polls, giving the Democrats the White House. All of Rudy’s personal weakness is offset by Romney and his family. If the Rudy – Mitt team can deliver for America, it will be Vice President Romney who will lead the Presidential ticket for the GOP in 2012 or 2016, with likely Jeb Bush as his running mate. The American people will have come to know Mitt, and the Mormon issue will have disappeared.

On the Democratic side Hillary will be faced with the same dilemma. Choosing Sen. Barack Obama as her running mate has its own benefits and traps. Depending on how their respective campaigns treat each other from now until February will tell America what kind of people we are really dealing with. I also think there is a lot more we will find out about Barack Obama, that we do not know now.

So if the GOP elects Rudy & Mitt as their nominees, I see thru my Spyglass the next three Presidents will be, Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush. If not, I see the Clintons back in the White House for the next 8 years.

What say you?

Captain Mark


Matthias said...

All in all, I think this is a pretty shrewd analysis.

Living in Utah as a non-Mormon, I can say that people here would be excited enough to see Mitt as VP... and smart enough (and patient enough) to know that 8 years as a solid VP would make him a shoe-in as president afterward.

This means that Guliani would inherit the vast power of Romney's support structure... as well as win over a huge number of socially conservative voters who might otherwise cringe at his presidency.

Excellent call. Remember to point back to this post when you're proven right.

jsweeney said...

As a Christian Republican, I for one would not vote for a ticket that included Romney, nor do I think he will ever be electable as long as he continues to affirm the bizarre, demonstrably false claims of Joseph Smith and his followers.

Reach Upward said...

I think that you underestimate the value of selecting a VP running mate from a different region, which is a time honored practice. There are many criteria a nominee may employ for selecting a running mate. To be sure, Romney would have much to offer a Giuliani ticket, but I don't see him as a shoe-in.

Marshall said...

So Christian Republican with the Giuliani/Romney ticket have a problem with Romney, HA!

The cross dresser is no problem, the three marriages, no problem, the guy that has flip flopped on every major Republican issue, no problem.

But a Mormon? That is a problem? Wow these Christian Republican sure do make sense.

Mark E. Towner said...

The VP route is the only way Mitt can win the GOP nomination. He must show america that Mormons don't have horns. I find it funny that we have the Senate majority leader, another high profile Senator, and the most powerfull cabinet member (in terms of funding) all active LDS and this get's little or no positive publicity. Talk about a double standard......

Arrrrr.... The National medica needs to walk the plank

Captain Mark