Wednesday, October 17, 2007

Giuliani, Clinton Lead in Tri-State Area

Giuliani, Clinton Lead in Tri-State Area

THE RACE: The presidential primary for Republicans, Democrats in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut.

THE NUMBERS - REPUBLICANS

NEW YORK

Rudy Giuliani, 45 percent

Fred Thompson, 12 percent

John McCain, 9 percent

Mitt Romney, 7 percent

Mike Huckabee, 1 percent

Ron Paul, 1 percent

NEW JERSEY

Rudy Giuliani, 48 percent

Fred Thompson, 12 percent

John McCain, 12 percent

Mitt Romney, 7 percent

Ron Paul, 2 percent

Sam Brownback, 1 percent

Mike Huckabee, 1 percent

Tom Tancredo, 1 percent

CONNECTICUT

Rudy Giuliani, 42 percent

John McCain, 14 percent

Fred Thompson, 10 percent

Mitt Romney, 9 percent

Ron Paul, 3 percent

Mike Huckabee, 2 percent

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THE NUMBERS - DEMOCRATS

NEW YORK

Hillary Rodham Clinton, 49 percent

Barack Obama, 12 percent

John Edwards, 11 percent

Joe Biden, 2 percent

Dennis Kucinich, 2 percent

Bill Richardson, 2 percent

Chris Dodd, 1 percent

NEW JERSEY

Hillary Rodham Clinton, 46 percent

Barack Obama, 20 percent

John Edwards, 9 percent

Bill Richardson, 3 percent

Joe Biden, 2 percent

Dennis Kucinich, 2 percent

Chris Dodd, 1 percent

CONNECTICUT

Hillary Rodham Clinton, 43 percent

Barack Obama, 16 percent

John Edwards, 8 percent

Chris Dodd, 7 percent

Joe Biden, 3 percent

Bill Richardson, 2 percent

Dennis Kucinich, 1 percent

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OF INTEREST:

New Yorkers Rudy Giuliani and Hillary Rodham Clinton hold commanding leads on their home turf and could sweep presidential primaries in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut on Feb. 5. With the Republicans' winner-take-all primary rules, Giuliani could win all 183 tri-state delegates, giving him 15 percent of the 1,228 he needs to secure the nomination. Because Democrats allocate primary votes proportionally, Barack Obama and John Edwards could win some tri-state delegates, but Clinton could win more than 250 of the 2,181 she'd need for the Democratic nomination.

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The telephone poll, taken Oct. 9-15 by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, surveyed 1,063 New York voters with a sampling error margin of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The survey included 316 New York Republicans with a sampling error margin of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points and 468 Democrats with an error margin of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. In New Jersey, 1,004 voters were surveyed with a sampling error margin of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The survey included 301 Republicans, with a sampling error margin of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points, and 343 Democrats, at plus or minus 5.5 percentage points. In Connecticut, 1,391 voters were polled with a sampling error margin of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, including 325 Republicans, at plus or minus 5.5 percentage points, and 530 Democrats, at plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

COMPLETE RESULTS: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml

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